Report from Expert Meeting no 1 held at the Danish Hydraulic Institute
Over 20 researchers and specialists participated in the first expert meeting which took place on 10 and 11 October 1996. Although the primary topics of this meeting were model structure and decision support, the discussions also covered other related aspects of flood risk and these are represented in the report of the meeting. During the discussion several important themes emerged which are elaborated in the proceedings to be published by DG XII in early 1997. The themes were as follows.
Risk Assessment procedures, methods and terminology
Holistic risk assessment can provide a framework for decisions and investment in flood defence activities. Several aspects of flood risk were raised including the appropriate form of design flood assessment, the delineation of areas at risk, the process and likelihood of dyke failure, the communication of risk to the public and special procedures for high hazard sites within flood risk areas. There are differences in the perception and acceptability of flood risk within the EU and there appears to be no accepted terminology for risk.
Integrated modelling and decision support
There are many models available which are used in the overall assessment and management of flood risk. However, these mostly only tackle specific issues and there is a need to combine or couple models together to provide decision makers with tools which address the practical management of river systems. A particular challenge is the linking of models of water movement and riverine ecology. It is important that any framework produced should be built as an "open system" which will not be tied to specific proprietary software packages for particular tasks.
Environmental change
Environmental change encompasses both atmospheric and land surface processes. A key change is the trend to a globally warmer climate with regional variability. In terms of flood risk, the climatic forcing will influence precipitation and storm conditions and there are likely to be changes in the catchment both as a natural response to the changing climate and through human adaptation. Planning flood defence infrastructure and river management practice over a time horizon of 20 to 50 years must consider environmental change. It is important to establish how regulation of changes of land use can contribute to reduction of flood risk.
Linking of meteorological and hydrological models
An important technical area for research advance is in the synthesis of the expertise and understanding of the hydrological and meteorological communities. This is important both for real time forecasting and warning and for the development of scenarios for climate change impact assessment. These topics will be considered in greater depth at future RIBAMOD events.
The topic of "scale" covers the need to use data and represent processes at differing spatial and temporal resolutions according to the issue of concern. Transformations between different resolutions can present difficulties, requiring aggregation or disaggregation of data, model parameters and model results. In addition the appropriate representation of the hydro-meteorological system may itself change with the scale of the river catchment.
Need for standards
The discussions touched on the benefits of a common European approach for data exchange across national boundaries and the appraisal of flood risk. These were noted as important and will be the subject of more detailed discussions at later RIBAMOD events.
First International Workshop to be held at Delft, 13-15 February 1997 The first announcement and call for papers for the first workshop were
distributed at the end of October 1996. The main themes for the workshop are as follows. For further information contact:
Subsequent RIBAMOD events
Expert Meeting 2 - Italy, 26-27 June 1997: Forecasting and Modelling - Real time warning
and risk mitigation
Workshop 2 - UK, 26-27 Feb 1998: Sustainable Use of River Catchments and Climate
Change For information contact one of the RIBAMOD partners:
Karsten Havnø, Danish Hydraulic Institute
Bas Pedroli, Delft Hydraulics
Evangelos Baltas, National Technical University of Athens
Axel Bronstert, Potsdam Institute of Climate Impact Research
Marco Borga, University of Padua
Riccardo Casale, DG XII
Convenors Delft Hydraulics, RIZA (the Netherlands), BfG (Germany)
Caroline Sloot, Delft Hydraulics
fax: +31 15 2858582
e-mail: caroline.sloot@wldelft.nl
Convenors: University of Padua and National Technical University of
Athens
Convenors: HR Wallingford and Potsdam Institute of Climate Impact
Research
fax: +44 1491 825916
e-mail: pgs@hrwallingford.co.uk
fax: +45 45 76 2567
e-mail: sk@dhi.dk
fax: +31 15 285 8582
e-mail: bas.pedroli@wldelft.nl
fax +30 1 772 2879
e-mail: baltas@central.ntua.gr
fax +49 331 288 2600
e-mail: Axel.Bronstert@pik-potsdam.de
fax +39 49 827 2686
e-mail: agra05@IPDUNIVX.UNIPD.IT
fax +32 2 296 3024
e-mail: Riccardo.CASALE@DG12.cec.be
© December 1996