RIBAMOD NEWSLETTER No 2 - NOVEMBER 1996

River Basin Modelling, Management and Flood Mitigation Concerted Action funded by the European Commission

Report from Expert Meeting no 1 held at the Danish Hydraulic Institute

Over 20 researchers and specialists participated in the first expert meeting which took place on 10 and 11 October 1996. Although the primary topics of this meeting were model structure and decision support, the discussions also covered other related aspects of flood risk and these are represented in the report of the meeting. During the discussion several important themes emerged which are elaborated in the proceedings to be published by DG XII in early 1997. The themes were as follows.

Risk Assessment procedures, methods and terminology

Holistic risk assessment can provide a framework for decisions and investment in flood defence activities. Several aspects of flood risk were raised including the appropriate form of design flood assessment, the delineation of areas at risk, the process and likelihood of dyke failure, the communication of risk to the public and special procedures for high hazard sites within flood risk areas. There are differences in the perception and acceptability of flood risk within the EU and there appears to be no accepted terminology for risk.

Integrated modelling and decision support

There are many models available which are used in the overall assessment and management of flood risk. However, these mostly only tackle specific issues and there is a need to combine or couple models together to provide decision makers with tools which address the practical management of river systems. A particular challenge is the linking of models of water movement and riverine ecology. It is important that any framework produced should be built as an "open system" which will not be tied to specific proprietary software packages for particular tasks.

Environmental change

Environmental change encompasses both atmospheric and land surface processes. A key change is the trend to a globally warmer climate with regional variability. In terms of flood risk, the climatic forcing will influence precipitation and storm conditions and there are likely to be changes in the catchment both as a natural response to the changing climate and through human adaptation. Planning flood defence infrastructure and river management practice over a time horizon of 20 to 50 years must consider environmental change. It is important to establish how regulation of changes of land use can contribute to reduction of flood risk.

Linking of meteorological and hydrological models

An important technical area for research advance is in the synthesis of the expertise and understanding of the hydrological and meteorological communities. This is important both for real time forecasting and warning and for the development of scenarios for climate change impact assessment. These topics will be considered in greater depth at future RIBAMOD events.

The topic of "scale" covers the need to use data and represent processes at differing spatial and temporal resolutions according to the issue of concern. Transformations between different resolutions can present difficulties, requiring aggregation or disaggregation of data, model parameters and model results. In addition the appropriate representation of the hydro-meteorological system may itself change with the scale of the river catchment.

Need for standards

The discussions touched on the benefits of a common European approach for data exchange across national boundaries and the appraisal of flood risk. These were noted as important and will be the subject of more detailed discussions at later RIBAMOD events.

First International Workshop to be held at Delft, 13-15 February 1997
Convenors Delft Hydraulics, RIZA (the Netherlands), BfG (Germany)

The first announcement and call for papers for the first workshop were distributed at the end of October 1996. The main themes for the workshop are as follows.

  1. understanding of the causes of recent floods across Europe through case studies of different types of catchment and basins; what lessons can be identified?
  2. inter-comparison of standards; design, evaluation and decision procedures; and experience of flood mitigation across Europe and its regions
  3. how flood risk is assessed, how it is changing and how the public understands and tolerates flood risk
  4. review of past and current design methods and management strategies, their effects and the need for change
  5. identify EU RTD needs

For further information contact:
Caroline Sloot, Delft Hydraulics
fax: +31 15 2858582
e-mail: caroline.sloot@wldelft.nl

Subsequent RIBAMOD events

Expert Meeting 2 - Italy, 26-27 June 1997: Forecasting and Modelling - Real time warning and risk mitigation
Convenors: University of Padua and National Technical University of Athens

Workshop 2 - UK, 26-27 Feb 1998: Sustainable Use of River Catchments and Climate Change
Convenors: HR Wallingford and Potsdam Institute of Climate Impact Research

For information contact one of the RIBAMOD partners:

Paul Samuels, HR Wallingford, Howbery Park, Wallingford, Oxon, OX10 8BA, UK
fax: +44 1491 825916
e-mail: pgs@hrwallingford.co.uk

Karsten Havnø, Danish Hydraulic Institute
fax: +45 45 76 2567
e-mail: sk@dhi.dk

Bas Pedroli, Delft Hydraulics
fax: +31 15 285 8582
e-mail: bas.pedroli@wldelft.nl

Evangelos Baltas, National Technical University of Athens
fax +30 1 772 2879
e-mail: baltas@central.ntua.gr

Axel Bronstert, Potsdam Institute of Climate Impact Research
fax +49 331 288 2600
e-mail: Axel.Bronstert@pik-potsdam.de

Marco Borga, University of Padua
fax +39 49 827 2686
e-mail: agra05@IPDUNIVX.UNIPD.IT

Riccardo Casale, DG XII
fax +32 2 296 3024
e-mail: Riccardo.CASALE@DG12.cec.be

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©  December 1996